Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Looking at the evidence for a moment...

 As governments across the world introduce vaccine passports, I find myself at a loss: why are more people in public places not standing up for liberal democracy and for what our senses can tell us about the actual reality around us?

Below is a quote from the Centre for Disease Control (CDC) talking about the vaccine that they claim "works". "As population-level vaccination coverage increases, vaccinated persons are likely to represent a larger proportion of COVID-19 cases."
This statement seems to me like the definition of a vaccine that does not work.

That is...
"Among the 469 cases in Massachusetts residents, 346 (74%) occurred in persons who were fully vaccinated".
They reveal that out of the 469 cases, only five were hospitalised, and out of the five, only ONE was not vaccinated, the other four were all fully vaccinated. That's 4 out of 5 of those in hospital with covid were fully vaccinated. The one guy in hospital who was not vaccinated suffered from underlying conditions.
No deaths were reported.
The report concludes with the CDC admitting that their own data "are insufficient to draw conclusions about the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, including the Delta variant, during this outbreak."
Insufficient! And yet they still maintain that mass vaccination is the best policy, and governments are now introducing vaccine passports on the grounds that people who are vaccinated are safer and more responsible.
Read the CDC report yourself.

2 comments:

  1. "'As population-level vaccination coverage increases, vaccinated persons are likely to represent a larger proportion of COVID-19 cases.'

    This statement seems to me like the definition of a vaccine that does not work."

    It's the definition of a vaccine that doesn't work perfectly. Let's say unvaccinated people are 10 times as likely to be infected as vaccinated people.

    If 10% are vaccinated, they should be about 1% of cases.
    If 50% are vaccinated, they should be about 9% of cases.
    If 90% are vaccinated, they should be about 47% of cases.

    So yes, in theory, as the vaccination rate rises, so does the proportion of cases who are vaccinated, even if the vaccine is effective.

    In practice, though, the numbers tell a different story.

    "Among the 469 cases in Massachusetts residents, 346 (74%) occurred in persons who were fully vaccinated".

    Massachusetts is reporting that 64% of its population is fully vaccinated, so that means being fully vaccinated actually *increases* one's risk of becoming a "case" by about 60%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks Wm, after posting I realised the exact same thing. But I didn't get as far as you with the maths, so thanks!

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